With just one regular season game left on the schedule, the college football season is poised to finally sort out the major conference and playoff races.
What can we expect from the Week 13 slate of games? This week, we turn to FPI to guide us in making our own picks for the biggest matchups.
Place your bets: College football picks, predictions against the spread
Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Devised by ESPN analysts, its rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.
Georgia Tech at Georgia (-35.5) pick: Don’t lose any sleep over this one, Bulldog fans, as UGA has the 98.7 percent shot to win, compared to Tech’s 1.3 percent chance. So you’re saying there’s a chance? (We’re not.) College Football HQ pick: Georgia 41-7
Michigan at Ohio State (-7.5) pick: A surprise from the computer in what looks like a pretty evenly-matched game, but the Buckeyes have the larger 71.8 percent chance of victory, while Michigan sits at 28.2 percent. College Football HQ pick: Ohio State 31-27
South Carolina at Clemson (-14.5) pick: The Gamecocks are coming off a thrashing over a good Tennessee team, but Clemson still owns this rivalry as far as the index thinks, projecting it will win with 88.9 percent likelihood. College Football HQ pick: Clemson 34-17
Louisville at Kentucky (-3) pick: Newly-ranked Louisville has the slight 56.1 percent edge to beat UK, which sits at 43.9 percent to win after losing three of the last four this season. College Football HQ pick: Kentucky 23-20
Auburn at Alabama (-22) pick: Another big edge for the Crimson Tide, which has the 94.5 percent chance to win the Iron Bowl and move to 10 wins and sitting just outside playoff contention. College Football HQ pick: Alabama 36-13
Oregon (-3) at Oregon State pick: The index favors the Ducks by a 57.4 percent margin to beat their